A big part of investing in individual companies or running an active portfolio is trying to spot macro trends in their infancy and subsequently riding the wave to riches. For instance, when the iPad was released in 2010, I distinctly remember Fast Money making fun of the name that Apple had chosen for it—saying it sounded like some sort of feminine product. Meanwhile, I was loading up on common and calls, thinking about how the iPad could revolutionize many industries (textbooks, traditional PCs, newspapers, e-readers, etc.). And so it did, although I never held as long as I would have liked to.
It’s been five weeks now since Lyft has gone public. In that time, Lyft has taken a 38.6% haircut from the peak reached on the very first day of trading — Fibonacci fans rejoice. With the Uber IPO on deck, investors are surely wondering if it will turn out like Lyft’s IPO or if it’s different this time. Or maybe the entire ride-sharing business model is in a bear market.